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Dragon Quest XI S Sales Prediction Poll (and Discussion)


How well do you think Dragon Quest XI S will do saleswise?  

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Zelda not selling so hot doesn’t surprise me. Zelda isn’t exactly a big franchise in Japan, whereas it’s huge with the rest of the world. Plus with Link’s Awakening being a remake, that probably hurt sales too.

Ys IX...I don’t know. I don’t pay attention to sales numbers for Falcom. Obviously they do well enough for themselves if they’ve been around for this long.

 

6 minutes ago, Plattym3 said:

It's like the mobile ports. Squeenix popped them out here.

Yeah, it definitely feels like they did the bare minimum effort to release them on Switch. I was hoping they would resemble DQ11’s 2D mode. Forgot this was Square Enix though and they like to take low effort routes.

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True, but even for remakes/rereleases, those numbers are a tad low.  I believe DQ8 started at 500k, and ended at 880k.

It's probably more due to the lack of added content in terms of Japan than the West.  For us it's a lot more (2D mode, past DQ quests, new storylines).

I wonder what we'll see with the US NPD numbers.  US and EU are different from Japan.  Longer legs for any release.  Japan it's more like 60~80% up front, first two weeks, for us it's anywhere from 30~60%...or Minecraft/Half-Life/Doom, and like 1% first week.

Edited by ignasia
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I would still like this game to sell huge in NA and EU, though the Japanese launch sales are a bit lower than I’d expected. I wonder if they’re counting Loto Edition sales as game sales? Surely the Gorgeous and Dream Gorgeous bundles are included, but I wonder if they’re counting those console sales as game unit sales, too? I love mine, by the way. Unzipping the gorgeous case and seeing the Loto details every time I play feels like opening my favorite storybook or ancient magical tome. It never gets old, and adds a lot to the experience for me, not just of DQXI, but of owning a Switch.

I think a lot of the financial success of XI S likely comes from promotion and merchandising. I have already bought tea and cakes at Lawson, reserved at Square Enix Cafe primarily to buy more merchandise, and am still planning to buy the art book and more things as they release through the end of the year. DQXI S has created a wave of energy for marketing that likely eclipses its game sales. Even if a lot of “vanilla” buyers decide not to double (or triple) dip, they may buy more DQ and DQXI stuff right now, just riding the hype. For example, even if players loved DQXI, they never bought an art book because it won’t be published until next month. They never bought the full set of Bring Arts figures, because all of the characters still haven’t been produced. I’d be curious to know how well all the other merchandise is selling, though I’m not sure where to find that information.

 

Edited by JustACorpse
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https://nintendosoup.com/japan-dragon-quest-xi-s-sold-through-65-of-initial-shipment-during-its-first-week/

dragon-quest-xi-s-archive-tgs2019-matome

Dengeki Online has revealed the sell-through rate for Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition's launch in Japan.

The video game outlet reported that Dragon Quest XI S is doing well in Japan with 65% of its initial shipment or 311,384 units copies sold in its first week. This places it at the top of the gaming charts in Japan for the week, from September 23-29.

While the game has earned a top spot, sales has been comparatively low with respect to the previous releases of the game from the PS4 and the 3DS back in 2017, with sales reaching more than one million units during the first week.

Here's the tweet:

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https://gematsu.com/2019/10/famitsu-sales-9-30-19-10-6-19

Quote

Fami-Sales_10-09-19.jpg

Famitsu has published its estimated physical game software and hardware sales data for Japan for the week of September 30, 2019 to October 6, 2019.

Ghost Recon: Breakpoint for PlayStation 4 was the highest selling new release, topping off at 54,733 first week retail sales. The other two notable new releases of the week, Super Robot Wars V for Switch and Amnesia Later x Crowd for Nintendo Switch, did not chart in the top 10.

As far as the best selling title of the week, Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition remained on top following its launch the previous week with an additional 56,667 sales.

On the hardware side, the Switch family sold 89,137 units, the PlayStation 4 family sold 12,388 units, and the 3DS family sold 1,303 units.

Get the full sales charts below.

Software Sales (followed by lifetime sales)

[NSW] Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition (Limited Edition Included) (Square Enix, 09/27/19) – 56,667 (360,871)

[PS4] Ghost Recon: Breakpoint (Ubisoft, 10/04/19) – 54,733 (New)

[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Link’s Awakening (Nintendo, 09/20/19) – 16,430 (203,580)

[PS4] Monster Hunter World: Iceborne Master Edition (Capcom, 09/06/19) – 15,697 (361,936)

[PS4] Code Vein (Bandai Namco, 09/27/19) – 12,926 (73,769)

[NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo, 06/28/19) – 9,840 (654,285)

[PS4] FIFA 20 (Electronic Arts, 09/27/19) – 9,435 (53,186)

[NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 9,252 (3,288,904)

[NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 8,941 (2,480,563)

[NSW] Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Bundle Version Included) (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 8,507 (954,488)

[PS4] Ys IX: Monstrum Nox (Falcom, 09/26/19) – 7,461 (52,839)

[PS4] World of War Z (H2 Interactive, 09/26/19) – 7,211 (35,083)

[PS4] Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout (Koei Tecmo, 09/26/19) – 6,812 (60,240)

[NSW] Tsuri Spirits Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco, 07/25/19) – 6,384 (187,132)

[PS4] eFootball PES 2020 (Konami, 09/12/19) – 5,140 (91,962)

[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 5,082 (1,417,878)

[NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo, 10/05/18) – 4,421 (1,124,321)

[NSW] Super Robot Wars V (Bandai Namco, 10/03/19) – 4,213 (New)

[NSW] FIFA 20 Legacy Edition (Electronic Arts, 09/27/19) – 4,137 (13,730)

[NSW] Splatoon 2 (Bundle Version Included) (Nintendo, 07/21/17) – 3,808 (3,168,698)

[PS4] Borderlands 3 (2K Games, 09/13/19) – 3,775 (55,854)

[NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! (Bundle Editions Included) (Nintendo, 11/16/18) – 3,435 (1,643,294)

[NSW] Dead by Daylight Official Japanese Version (3goo, 09/26/19) – 2,930 (12,918)

[NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo, 01/11/19) – 2,742 (693,334)

[NSW] Fire Emblem: Three Houses (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 07/26/19) – 2,723 (252,995)

[NSW] Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout (Koei Tecmo, 09/26/19) – 2,536 (28,074)

[NSW] Ninja Box (Bandai Namco, 09/26/19) – 2,203 (8,237)

[PS4] Monster Hunter World: Iceborne (Capcom, 09/06/19) – 2,177 (67,472)

[NSW] Jikkyou Powerful Pro Yakyuu (Konami, 06/27/19) – 2,089 (168,017)

[NSW] Daemon X Machina (Marvelous, 09/13/19) – 2,062 (42,217)

Hardware Sales (followed by lifetime sales)

Switch – 50,469 (9,199,946)

Switch Lite – 38,668 (297,361)

PlayStation 4 – 7,080 (7,141,390)

PlayStation 4 Pro – 5,308 (1,295,000)

New 2DS LL (including 2DS) – 1,173 (1,667,054)

New 3DS LL – 130 (5,884,536)

Xbox One X – 87 (17,077)

Xbox One S – 39 (91,203)

PS Vita – 32 (5,862,627)

Update 10:20 p.m.: Famitsu has published the top 11 to 30 game software sales, which have been added to the post.

Edited by Dakhil
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  • 2 weeks later...

So NPD reports that Dragon Quest XI S is #7 from the Top 10 Games on Nintendo Switch for September 2019 (starting from 04:26 in the video above). And keep in mind that Nintendo doesn't provide digital sale numbers.

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So what do you guys think? I saw this post on the dragon quest reddit talking about it and the other end of the discussion. He mistakenly doesn't put that it extends to Oct 5th but besides that his points seem pretty valid for the most part on the matter.

 

Edited by muddy120
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On 10/22/2019 at 5:31 AM, muddy120 said:

So what do you guys think? I saw this post on the dragon quest reddit talking about it and the other end of the discussion. He mistakenly doesn't put that it extends to Oct 5th but besides that his points seem pretty valid for the most part on the matter.

 

He has a good point.

Plus Horii's latest interviews are relaxed, more like the Japanese interviews.  They're not concerned with pushing DQ11S very hard.  They're treating us now more like a market they feel comfortable with.  That's a positive change in general behaviour.  Yu Miyaki is relaxed.  He was VERY tense for the DQ11 PS4/PC interviews.  Clearly it's not as fun and engaging in the way they interview in Japan, but the tone and mood is very different, and suggest a positive outlook and acceptance of slow and steady growth over time.

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https://gematsu.com/2019/10/famitsu-sales-10-14-19-10-20-19

Famitsu-Sales_10-23-2019.jpg

Famitsu has published its estimated physical game software and hardware sales data for Japan for the week of October 14, 2019 to October 20, 2019.

Nintendo's exercise adventure game Ring Fit Adventure was the highest selling new release of the week, selling 68,497 retail copies. Marvelous' remake Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town followed at 66,193 retail sales. The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt Complete Edition for Switch opened at 7,218 copies.

On the hardware side, the Switch family sold 54,067 units, the PlayStation 4 family sold 7,362 units, and the 3DS family sold 1,110 units.

Get the full sales charts below.

Software Sales (followed by lifetime sales)

  • [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo, 10/18/19) – 68,497 (New)
  • [NSW] Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town (Marvelous, 10/17/19) – 66,193 (New)
  • [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition (Limited Edition Included) (Square Enix, 09/27/19) – 15,744 (401,907)
  • [NSW] Disney Tsum Tsum Festival (Bandai Namco, 10/10/19) – 11,824 (42,174)
  • [NSW] Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Bundle Version Included) (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 9,020 (970,816)
  • [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 8,305 (2,496,564)
  • [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo, 06/28/19) – 7,964 (669,445)
  • [PS4] Monster Hunter World: Iceborne Master Edition (Capcom, 09/06/19) – 7,468 (378,736)
  • [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 7,312 (3,302,948)
  • [NSW] The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt Complete Edition (Spike Chunsoft, 10/17/19) – 7,218 (New)
  • [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Link’s Awakening (Nintendo, 09/20/19) – 6,709 (219,627)
  • [NSW] Tsuri Spirits Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco, 07/25/19) – 5,931 (198,751)
  • [PS4] Ghost Recon: Breakpoint (Ubisoft, 10/04/19) – 5,537 (72,934)
  • [NSW] Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition (Bandai Namco, 10/17/19) – 4,536 (New)
  • [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 3,942 (1,425,636)
  • [PS4] Code Vein (Bandai Namco, 09/27/19) – 3,852 (83,637)
  • [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo, 10/05/18) – 3,661 (1,131,995)
  • [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Bundle Version Included) (Nintendo, 07/21/17) – 3,424 (3,175,168)
  • [PS4] FIFA 20 (Electronic Arts, 09/27/19) – 3,329 (60,725)
  • [NSW] Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! (Bundle Editions Included) (Nintendo, 11/16/18) – 3,214 (1,648,891)
  • [PS4] World of War Z (H2 Interactive, 09/26/19) – 3,137 (42,580)
  • [NSW] Yo-kai Watch 4: We're Looking Up at the Same Sky (Level-5, 06/20/19) – 2,895 (279,438)
  • [NSW] Yo-kai Watch 1 for Nintendo Switch (Level-5, 10/10/19) – 2,882 (12,308)
  • [PS4] eFootball PES 2020 (Konami, 09/12/19) – 2,877 (98,513)
  • [PS4] Ys IX: Monstrum Nox (Falcom, 09/26/19) – 2,875 (60,745)
  • [PS4] Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout (Koei Tecmo, 09/26/19) – 2,544 (66,342)
  • [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo, 01/11/19) – 2,300 (697,766)
  • [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun (Bandai Namco, 07/19/18) – 2,064 (377,366)
  • [NSW] FIFA 20 Legacy Edition (Electronic Arts, 09/27/19) – 2,006 (18,224)
  • [NSW] Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout (Koei Tecmo, 09/26/19) – 1,957 (31,309)

Hardware Sales (followed by lifetime sales)

  • Switch – 34,821 (9,274,131)
  • Switch Lite – 19,246 (333,923)
  • PlayStation 4 – 4,273 (7,150,238)
  • PlayStation 4 Pro – 3,089 (1,301,363)
  • New 2DS LL (including 2DS) – 1,013 (1,669,004)
  • New 3DS LL – 97 (5,884,737)
  • Xbox One X – 78 (91,314)
  • Xbox One S – 64 (17,186)
  • PS Vita – 27 (5,862,680)

Update 10:06 p.m.: Famitsu has published the top 11 to 30 game software sales, which have been added to the post.

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Now Japanese sales for DQXI S stand at 412,997, 11,090 being purchased during the week, a decrease of 4,654 units in comparison to the previous week. It probably won't reach 500,000 sales in Japan, at least not anytime soon, but still not too bad. I only hope the overseas figures can match it or do better..

Source: https://nintendoeverything.com/famitsu-sales-10-21-19-10-27-19/

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On 9/21/2019 at 7:13 PM, Plattym3 said:

My post was 100% comedy, like 95% of the stuff I say here. I'm actually surprised when people take me seriously. Online is not the place for seriousness, I don't come online for seriousness or facts, that's what real life is for.  Online is for entertainment.

Like Squeenix and their outright likes about DQ7 3DS, pure entertainment fiction.

DQ7 3DS lies??

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  • 1 month later...

https://gematsu.com/2019/12/dragon-quest-xi-echoes-of-an-elusive-age-shipments-and-digital-sales-top-5-5-million

Quote

DQ11-Sales_12-18-19.jpg

Total worldwide shipments and digital sales for Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age and Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition have surpassed 5.5 million units, Square Enix announced.

"I strongly believe that this figure has only been achieved thanks to our fans who have always loved the Dragon Quest series and also the new players who discovered Dragon Quest or JRPGs through this title," Dragon Quest series creator and game designer Yuji Horii said in a press release. "If I could ever go back in time to meet myself when I was still making the very first Dragon Quest, I would love to tell him, 'In 30 years' time, Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age has been released and loved by international fans beyond seas and languages.' I will carry on doing my very best to deliver further Dragon Quest titles to our fans worldwide. Thank you very much to all the fans who have enjoyed the title!"

Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age launched for PlayStation 4 and 3DS in Japan in July 2017, and for PlayStation 4 and PC via Steam worldwide in September 2018. Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition launched for Switch worldwide in September 2019.

Edited by Dakhil
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Japan (3.8m)

3DS: 1.86m
PS4: 1.53m
Switch: 0.41m

5.5 - 3.8 = 1.7m Worldwide

Steam = 0.2~0.5m...most likely around 0.3 , 1.7 - 0.3 = 1.4m between PS4 and Switch worldwide.

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Here is the text from the actual press release (I do get those at least :))

LOS ANGELES (Dec. 18, 2019) –  SQUARE ENIX® announced today that DRAGON QUEST® XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age™ and DRAGON QUEST XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition together have surpassed 5.5 million copies shipped and downloaded worldwide on the PlayStation®4 computer entertainment system, STEAM®, Nintendo 3DS™ and Nintendo Switch™. Heralded by critics and fans alike as a modern classic, the game has captured the hearts of players with its striking art style, charming characters and memorable storyline.

DRAGON QUEST series creator and game designer Yuji Horii commented on the latest milestone: “I strongly believe that this figure has only been achieved thanks to our fans who have always loved the DRAGON QUEST series and also the new players who discovered DRAGON QUEST or JRPGs through this title. If I could ever go back in time to meet myself  when I was still making the very first DRAGON QUEST, I would love to tell him, ‘In 30 years’ time, DRAGON QUEST XI: Echoes of an Elusive Agehas been released and loved by international fans beyond seas and languages.’ I will carry on doing my very best to deliver further DRAGON QUEST titles to our fans worldwide. Thank you very much to all the fans who have enjoyed the title!”

In DRAGON QUEST XI, players embark upon an epic adventure as The Luminary: the chosen one in a world that vows to hunt him down. The Luminary and his unique band of loyal companions work together to survive an onslaught of ne’er-do-wells and overthrow the dark forces that plot to plunge the world of Erdrea into chaos.

To view the launch trailer, “A Legend Reborn,” please visit:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTR1BCmysSM.

To view the game’s CG prologue sequence, please visit:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O81FE01R7tY.

DRAGON QUEST XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age is now available for the PlayStation®4 computer entertainment system and STEAM. The title is rated T (Teen). Please visit the Entertainment Software Rating Board (ESRB) website at www.esrb.org for more information about ratings.

For the latest assets, please visit the press site at http://sqex.to/Media
 
Related Links:
Official Homepage: www.DQ11.com
PlayStation®Store: http://sqex.to/DQ11PSN
STEAM: http://sqex.to/DQ11STEAM
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/DragonQuest
Twitter: @DragonQuest
Instagram: @DragonQuest
#DragonQuest

 

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https://twitter.com/DragonQuest/status/1208024503831257088

We're delighted to announce that #DragonQuest XI has shipped over 5.5 million copies worldwide, and series creator Yuji Horii has penned a special message to mark the milestone. It's on sale right now on both #PS4 and #Steam, so it's the perfect time to jump in and play!

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